On April 1, The Guardian reported that the Food and Drink Federation predicted UK food inflation could hit 9% this year, citing the Iran war's impact on energy prices, with Chancellor Rachel Reeves set to meet supermarket bosses.

On April 28, The Independent reported that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the Iran war was causing fuel and fertiliser shortages, threatening UK food supplies. Experts warned of shortages in fresh produce, meat, and dairy, with food inflation potentially reaching 10% by year-end. The following day, Prime Minister Keir Starmer acknowledged that shopping habits may need to change and that higher prices would last at least eight months after the war ends, as The Independent reported.

By early May, The Independent reported that UK food prices were projected to be 50% higher by November compared to mid-2021 levels, with household food bills rising by £605 on average between 2022 and 2023. The Guardian noted similar price increases, including beef up 64% and eggs up 59%. International Business Times UK added that 3 million households were skipping meals. On May 5, RT cited a study from the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit estimating that food prices would increase by 50% between 2021 and November 2026, driven by climate change, supply chain issues, and energy market volatility. On May 6, The Guardian reported that 80% of Britons worried the Iran conflict would make food more expensive, with UK retailers urging the government to cut energy costs and food inflation expected to rise to 7% by year-end. The Independent added that supermarkets warned food costs would continue to rise unless the government delayed or scrapped new taxes and regulations, with the British Retail Consortium stating retailers had already absorbed £6.5bn in higher employment taxes and £1.6bn in packaging tax costs. On May 26, The Guardian reported that UK consumers may face higher prices for many months due to the Iran conflict impacting global shipping and energy costs. Shop price inflation rose 1.2% in May, and 84% of UK businesses were affected by the Middle East turmoil.

On June 5, new data painted a mixed picture of the UK economy. The Guardian and The Independent reported that high street footfall fell 2.6% in May year-on-year, though this was an improvement from April's 10.7% decline. Consumer confidence, as measured by the YouGov/CEBR index, rose 2.6 points to 104.9 in May — the largest increase since 2021 — following a sharp drop in April linked to the US-Iran war and rising oil prices. According to The Guardian, BDO reported 3.4% year-on-year sales growth, and the OECD upgraded its 2025 UK growth forecast to 0.9%. However, unemployment rose to 5%, and energy bills were expected to rise later in the year.

On June 30, Xinhua reported that UK shop price inflation remained at 1.2% year-on-year in June, unchanged from May. Food inflation fell to 2.4% from 2.7%, while non-food inflation rose to 0.6% from 0.5%. BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said that summer discounts had helped keep prices low, but warned of rising cost pressures from taxes and higher input costs.

On July 27, The Independent reported that UK shop price inflation slowed to 0.9% in July, down from 1.2% in June, according to BRC-NIQ data. Non-food inflation fell to 0.2%, while food inflation eased to 2.2% — though fresh food inflation rose to 3.1%. Dickinson warned of future cost pressures from employment costs, packaging taxes, and global instability.